Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 107.302915 118.275849 129.448094 141.648952 154.572630 167.829690 182.431836
2025-12-07 90.142238 106.532875 123.942661 143.703087 165.401970 188.402441 214.523944
2025-12-14 75.233077 95.177558 117.234928 143.169567 172.565944 204.606441 241.924068
2025-12-21 65.062855 87.741214 113.768202 145.338105 182.103256 223.111189 271.855278
2025-12-28 58.127269 83.132617 112.803381 149.781516 193.840816 243.928876 304.452146
2026-01-04 51.481432 78.044502 110.601644 152.225203 202.870452 261.437586 333.238769
2026-01-11 46.485702 74.422024 109.696533 155.831612 213.000836 280.084449 363.334543
2026-01-18 41.923797 70.838831 108.419144 158.637129 221.925341 297.180886 391.597930
2026-01-25 34.712347 62.874289 100.833696 152.909264 219.877390 300.759819 403.528928
2026-02-01 29.401899 56.990728 95.490947 149.604889 220.471791 307.251438 418.737206
2026-02-08 25.526046 52.779861 92.062324 148.499574 223.608228 316.692865 437.418980
2026-02-15 22.906903 50.206194 90.693914 149.969593 229.934243 330.031985 460.872213
2026-02-22 21.502517 49.498972 92.012695 155.210159 241.391725 350.122924 493.117340
2026-03-01 19.473112 47.533367 91.339896 157.606986 249.084668 365.516286 519.676631
2026-03-08 16.973585 44.452092 88.767287 157.157786 252.872614 375.893202 539.996175
2026-03-15 15.376694 42.791418 88.232942 159.525259 260.417236 391.110013 566.481945
2026-03-22 14.430864 42.235431 89.363773 164.279386 271.231343 410.621864 598.524783
2026-03-29 13.152696 40.869447 89.087342 166.892937 279.073531 426.279967 625.733750
2026-04-05 12.221128 40.078478 89.667408 170.730897 288.600353 444.169927 655.863628
2026-04-12 11.223498 39.016920 89.712728 173.712964 296.918802 460.495579 684.059395
2026-04-19 8.922507 34.720386 83.979536 167.638184 292.273694 459.495602 689.808096
2026-04-26 7.298599 31.622043 80.055983 164.131380 291.097835 462.987995 701.284293
2026-05-03 6.173307 29.502448 77.705488 162.958317 293.177809 470.795890 718.365266